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Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Chelsea47%
1-1likeliest score
Bournemouth28%
Draw 25%

Match preview

Chelsea are favourites at home to Bournemouth with a 47% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Bournemouth have a 28% chance and a draw is 25%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.1 goals in total (Chelsea 1.8, Bournemouth 1.3), with a 59% chance of three or more.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (62%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Chelsea win47%
Draw25%
Bournemouth win28%

Goals

1.8–1.3Expected goals
59%Over 2.5 goals
41%Under 2.5 goals
62%Both teams score

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: quick answers

Who will win Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Chelsea are favourites to win, with a 47% chance. Chelsea 47%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 28%.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Chelsea 1.8, Bournemouth 1.3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 62% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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