Derby vs Wrexham prediction
Derby43%
Wrexham31%Match preview
Derby are favourites at home to Wrexham with a 43% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Wrexham have a 31% chance and a draw is 27%.
We expect around 2.7 goals (Derby 1.5, Wrexham 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 51% for over.
Both teams are more likely than not to score (56%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.
Result chances
Goals
Derby vs Wrexham: quick answers
Who will win Derby vs Wrexham?
Derby are favourites to win, with a 43% chance. Derby 43%, draw 27%, Wrexham 31%.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Wrexham?
Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Derby 1.5, Wrexham 1.2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
There's a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% of under.
Will both teams score?
Both teams score in 56% of our model's outcomes for this match.
These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.
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