Mainz vs Leverkusen prediction
Mainz29%
Leverkusen44%Match preview
Leverkusen are favourites away at Mainz with a 44% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Mainz have a 29% chance and a draw is 26%.
We expect around 2.9 goals (Mainz 1.3, Leverkusen 1.6), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 56% for over.
Both teams are more likely than not to score (59%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.
Result chances
Goals
Mainz vs Leverkusen: quick answers
Who will win Mainz vs Leverkusen?
Leverkusen are favourites to win, with a 44% chance. Mainz 29%, draw 26%, Leverkusen 44%.
What is the predicted score for Mainz vs Leverkusen?
Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Mainz 1.3, Leverkusen 1.6.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
There's a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% of under.
Will both teams score?
Both teams score in 59% of our model's outcomes for this match.
These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.
More Bundesliga predictions
Friday9 October
Dortmund70%
Werder Bremen11%








