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Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Vallecano37%
1-1likeliest score
Ath Bilbao33%
Draw 30%

Match preview

Our model sees Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao as a closely matched La Liga game: Vallecano have a 37% chance of winning, Ath Bilbao 33%, and there's a 30% chance of a draw.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.1 expected goals (Vallecano 1.1, Ath Bilbao 1.0) and only a 36% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 43%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Vallecano win37%
Draw30%
Ath Bilbao win33%

Goals

1.1–1.0Expected goals
36%Over 2.5 goals
64%Under 2.5 goals
43%Both teams score

Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao: quick answers

Who will win Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao?

Vallecano are favourites to win, with a 37% chance. Vallecano 37%, draw 30%, Ath Bilbao 33%.

What is the predicted score for Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Vallecano 1.1, Ath Bilbao 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 43% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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