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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo prediction

PredictionThursday, 8 October 2026
Cruzeiro50%
1-0likeliest score
Sao Paulo22%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Cruzeiro are favourites at home to Sao Paulo with a 50% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Sao Paulo have a 22% chance and a draw is 28%.

This could be a tight, low-scoring match: around 2.3 expected goals (Cruzeiro 1.4, Sao Paulo 0.8) and only a 40% chance of three or more goals.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 44%. The single most likely score is 1-0, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Cruzeiro win50%
Draw28%
Sao Paulo win22%

Goals

1.4–0.8Expected goals
40%Over 2.5 goals
60%Under 2.5 goals
44%Both teams score

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: quick answers

Who will win Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Cruzeiro are favourites to win, with a 50% chance. Cruzeiro 50%, draw 28%, Sao Paulo 22%.

What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?

Our model's most likely score is 1-0. Expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.4, Sao Paulo 0.8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 44% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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