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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC prediction

PredictionThursday, 8 October 2026
Vitoria54%
1-1likeliest score
Chapecoense-SC22%
Draw 25%

Match preview

Vitoria are favourites at home to Chapecoense-SC with a 54% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Chapecoense-SC have a 22% chance and a draw is 25%.

We expect around 2.7 goals (Vitoria 1.7, Chapecoense-SC 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 51% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 52%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Vitoria win54%
Draw25%
Chapecoense-SC win22%

Goals

1.7–1.0Expected goals
51%Over 2.5 goals
49%Under 2.5 goals
52%Both teams score

Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC: quick answers

Who will win Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC?

Vitoria are favourites to win, with a 54% chance. Vitoria 54%, draw 25%, Chapecoense-SC 22%.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-SC?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Vitoria 1.7, Chapecoense-SC 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 52% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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