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Lens vs Lyon prediction

PredictionFriday, 9 October 2026
Lens46%
1-1likeliest score
Lyon28%
Draw 26%

Match preview

Lens are favourites at home to Lyon with a 46% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Lyon have a 28% chance and a draw is 26%.

We expect around 2.8 goals (Lens 1.6, Lyon 1.2), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 53% for over.

Both teams are more likely than not to score (56%). The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Lens win46%
Draw26%
Lyon win28%

Goals

1.6–1.2Expected goals
53%Over 2.5 goals
47%Under 2.5 goals
56%Both teams score

Lens vs Lyon: quick answers

Who will win Lens vs Lyon?

Lens are favourites to win, with a 46% chance. Lens 46%, draw 26%, Lyon 28%.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lyon?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Lens 1.6, Lyon 1.2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 56% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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