Pundict

Predictions / Ligue 1

Paris SG vs Le Mans prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Paris SG74%
2-0likeliest score
Le Mans10%
Draw 16%

Match preview

Paris SG are strong favourites at home to Le Mans, with a 74% chance of winning. Le Mans win 10% of the time in our model, and the draw is 16%.

Goals look likely. We expect around 3.5 goals in total (Paris SG 2.6, Le Mans 0.9), with a 68% chance of three or more.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 55%. The single most likely score is 2-0, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Paris SG win74%
Draw16%
Le Mans win10%

Goals

2.6–0.9Expected goals
68%Over 2.5 goals
32%Under 2.5 goals
55%Both teams score

Paris SG vs Le Mans: quick answers

Who will win Paris SG vs Le Mans?

Paris SG are favourites to win, with a 74% chance. Paris SG 74%, draw 16%, Le Mans 10%.

What is the predicted score for Paris SG vs Le Mans?

Our model's most likely score is 2-0. Expected goals: Paris SG 2.6, Le Mans 0.9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 32% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 55% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

More Ligue 1 predictions

Friday9 October

Saturday10 October

Sunday11 October