Pundict

Predictions / Serie A

Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction

PredictionSaturday, 10 October 2026
Genoa34%
1-1likeliest score
Fiorentina38%
Draw 28%

Match preview

Our model sees Genoa vs Fiorentina as a closely matched Serie A game: Genoa have a 34% chance of winning, Fiorentina 38%, and there's a 28% chance of a draw.

We expect around 2.4 goals (Genoa 1.2, Fiorentina 1.3), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 44% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 50%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Genoa win34%
Draw28%
Fiorentina win38%

Goals

1.2–1.3Expected goals
44%Over 2.5 goals
56%Under 2.5 goals
50%Both teams score

Genoa vs Fiorentina: quick answers

Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina are favourites to win, with a 38% chance. Genoa 34%, draw 28%, Fiorentina 38%.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Fiorentina?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Genoa 1.2, Fiorentina 1.3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 50% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

More Serie A predictions

Saturday10 October

Sunday11 October