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Lazio vs Monza prediction

PredictionSunday, 11 October 2026
Lazio61%
1-0likeliest score
Monza16%
Draw 23%

Match preview

Lazio are strong favourites at home to Monza, with a 61% chance of winning. Monza win 16% of the time in our model, and the draw is 23%.

We expect around 2.6 goals (Lazio 1.8, Monza 0.8), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 49% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 47%. The single most likely score is 1-0, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Lazio win61%
Draw23%
Monza win16%

Goals

1.8–0.8Expected goals
49%Over 2.5 goals
51%Under 2.5 goals
47%Both teams score

Lazio vs Monza: quick answers

Who will win Lazio vs Monza?

Lazio are favourites to win, with a 61% chance. Lazio 61%, draw 23%, Monza 16%.

What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Monza?

Our model's most likely score is 1-0. Expected goals: Lazio 1.8, Monza 0.8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 47% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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