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Predictions / Brasileirão Série A

Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG prediction

PredictionFriday, 9 October 2026
Athletico-PR49%
1-1likeliest score
Atletico-MG24%
Draw 27%

Match preview

Athletico-PR are favourites at home to Atletico-MG with a 49% chance of winning, but it's far from certain: Atletico-MG have a 24% chance and a draw is 27%.

We expect around 2.4 goals (Athletico-PR 1.5, Atletico-MG 1.0), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 44% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 48%. The single most likely score is 1-1, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Athletico-PR win49%
Draw27%
Atletico-MG win24%

Goals

1.5–1.0Expected goals
44%Over 2.5 goals
56%Under 2.5 goals
48%Both teams score

Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG: quick answers

Who will win Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG?

Athletico-PR are favourites to win, with a 49% chance. Athletico-PR 49%, draw 27%, Atletico-MG 24%.

What is the predicted score for Athletico-PR vs Atletico-MG?

Our model's most likely score is 1-1. Expected goals: Athletico-PR 1.5, Atletico-MG 1.0.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 48% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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