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Palmeiras vs Bahia prediction

PredictionFriday, 9 October 2026
Palmeiras63%
1-0likeliest score
Bahia15%
Draw 22%

Match preview

Palmeiras are strong favourites at home to Bahia, with a 63% chance of winning. Bahia win 15% of the time in our model, and the draw is 22%.

We expect around 2.7 goals (Palmeiras 1.9, Bahia 0.8), which makes over and under 2.5 goals close to a coin flip at 51% for over.

Both teams scoring is roughly even at 47%. The single most likely score is 1-0, although with so many possible scorelines, no individual result is likely on its own.

Result chances

Palmeiras win63%
Draw22%
Bahia win15%

Goals

1.9–0.8Expected goals
51%Over 2.5 goals
49%Under 2.5 goals
47%Both teams score

Palmeiras vs Bahia: quick answers

Who will win Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Palmeiras are favourites to win, with a 63% chance. Palmeiras 63%, draw 22%, Bahia 15%.

What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Our model's most likely score is 1-0. Expected goals: Palmeiras 1.9, Bahia 0.8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

There's a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% of under.

Will both teams score?

Both teams score in 47% of our model's outcomes for this match.

These numbers come from our statistical model, which rates each team's attack and defence from recent results. How our predictions work.

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